Dec 8 – Dec 12, 2025
by Nick Schmidt · December 14, 2025
Sitting at 50% exposure going into next week. 30% TSLA, 20% GEV. Friday was ugly but I still believe we're lining up to go higher.
Two trades this week. Bought GOOGL on Wednesday against its multi-week low, tight range, good r/r. Got stopped out Friday morning. Nothing wrong with the setup, just hit stops. I'll probably buy it back. Added to GEV on Wednesday at $681 when it pulled back hard after breaking out. Trimmed most of that add Friday but kept the core. Breakout still intact above the $660 pivot.
Also sold ASML Friday even though it looks fine, closed below the pivot so I'd rather step aside and buy it back. None of these sells were because something broke structurally. I'd rather reduce and be ready.
TSLA showed insane relative strength Friday while everything else tanked. Five-year base, multiple themes converging. It's the number one opportunity in the market. I never feel like I own enough of it.
Stopped out of GOOGL and sold ASML Friday. Trimmed GEV add but kept core. Reduced to be ready.
Red day but everything acted fine. Nice push into the close which is what I want to see when the market is under pressure. PLTR and HOOD showing relative strength. GOOGL on its second tight sideways week, buyable.
Strong day. 70% of stocks up in the first 40 minutes. TSLA back above the key $450 level. GEV up after hours above the $660 breakout level. Need to find an opportunity to add tomorrow.
GEV finally broke out after 8 weeks of stalking. Added at $681 on the pullback. Bought GOOGL against its multi-week low, tight range with good risk reward. All four positions closing strong. Felt like the pieces were coming together.
Pressure early but recovered. Weak open, strong close. TSLA shook below yesterday's lows then closed upper range, feels like it's getting ready for a move.
75% of stocks down. Got stopped out of GOOGL, nothing wrong with the setup, just hit the stop. Sold ASML below its pivot, would rather step aside and buy it back. Trimmed the GEV add but kept the core. TSLA had insane relative strength all day while everything else was getting destroyed. That's the kind of divergence you can't ignore.
When there is a big lower wick shakeout type candle on the weekly, the lows of that candle if they are held is a sign of strength and a way to get long. TSLA had this exact action Thursday, shook below Wednesday's lows then closed upper range. That's the market telling you demand is still there and it's worth paying attention to.
I have found over time I do better focusing on the weekly close for base highs. It keeps me in better and when we see retests they more often come down to weekly closing levels. GEV's $660 pivot is a weekly closing high, not an intraday wick, and that distinction has kept me on the right side of it all week.
I wait until end of day to make sell decisions only if I have the luxury to do so, meaning I have a cushion in the trade. If I enter a trade and place a stop, that original stop is a hard stop. GOOGL hit my stop Friday morning and I took it immediately. No cushion, no waiting. That's just how it has to work on initial entries.
I always used to get stopped out and consider a trade failed and move on but now if the thesis is still in play, chart's fine, structure's intact then nothing changed besides timing. GOOGL and ASML both still look good, I just need better entries. The setups didn't fail, my timing was off and that's fixable.