Dec 22 – Dec 26, 2025
by Nick Schmidt · December 28, 2025
Sitting at 95% exposure going into next week. Quiet holiday week but I got positioned into the names I've been stalking.
Two new positions this week. Bought HOOD on Tuesday when it pulled back into the green zone, watching for last week to hold as a higher low. Friday I finally got my PLTR entry. Started half size, then blew out and rebought the full position under $191 for a better average. The thesis is the breakout from this base sticks. If we close below the 188 pivot, I exit and wait for another setup.
Sold SERV Friday just to reduce exposure. With PLTR, HOOD, and GEV all having zero cushion, I can't be too aggressive without seeing positive feedback in those names first. SERV still looks good. 25% short, massive increase in fund ownership. I'll be watching to buy it back next week.
Gap up across the market. TSLA and PLTR showing strength, TSLA flirting with $500. Strong day for solar and space names. Tunnel vision on the focus list, nothing to do but watch the names I care about.
HOOD pulling back into the green zone which is exactly what I was waiting for. Bought it. GOOGL had strength off the open which was nice to see. SERV contracting nicely and I started watching it for a potential short squeeze setup.
Short day. No developments in any of the names, no changes. Nothing to do.
Markets closed.
ASML looked like the strongest name on the focus list, holding its 10-week and consolidating under all-time highs. Got the PLTR entry I was waiting for, bought the full position under $191 after blowing out the initial half size and rebought for a better average. Sold SERV to reduce exposure since PLTR, HOOD, and GEV all have zero cushion.
Theoretically the more you zoom out the less likely you are to be fooled by randomness. I say theoretically because I still watch and screw things up day to day. But the weekly chart strips out so much noise and the decisions I make from it are consistently better than anything I do intraday. Something I keep relearning.
Reddit absolutely hates PLTR, every single person is positive it's a bubble. The more hated the higher the success rate. I've seen this pattern enough times now that when I see universal retail conviction that something is overvalued, I pay more attention to the chart and less to the commentary. The chart doesn't care about opinions.
Shakeouts should be violent and quick. They reclaim whatever level they shook out through fast and the chart looks back to what it did before. Something that breaks down and doesn't quickly reclaim is no good. That distinction matters because it's the difference between a stock that has real demand underneath it and one that's just drifting lower. I used this to get back into PLTR Friday after the initial blowout.
I don't want to have a stop wider than 5% on an initial buy because it makes size and risk reward worse. I need to have a technical level that is at least within 5% of the entry. Generally I use the weekly low to enter, then as the trade develops I use a base pivot, then the 10-week. PLTR has the 188 pivot right there which gives me a tight stop and a clear invalidation level.