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Moving Averages

30-Week Moving Average

Also called: 30-week, 30 week, 30-week MA, 30-week moving average, 30-week average

The average closing price over the last 30 weeks on the weekly chart. This is the major trend line, if a stock is above the 30-week the long-term trend is up and if it's below the trend is down. When leading stocks break below the 30-week it's a significant warning about the overall market environment.

On the Chart

The Easy Part**QQQ Weekly** — First close below the 30-week, complete risk off. Monday bounced hard into the declining 10-week for the 4th time.
Time to Reset**QQQ Weekly** — Early 2025 (left circle) bounced at the 30-week and looked convincing before following through to the downside. Early 2026 (right circle) is showing the same setup. Doesn't mean it plays out the same but the similarity is worth paying attention to.

In Context

This week QQQ closed below the 30-week for the first time and suddenly there's nothing to argue about anymore.

The Easy Part·Digest

NVDA 10 and 30-week MAs converging tight, marked last week's high.

The Easy Part·Digest

Once QQQ closed below the 30-week and the follow-through day concept gave me something specific to wait for, the anxiety went away.

The Easy Part·Digest

Big gap down below the 30-week on QQQ and buyers showed up aggressively, 73%+ of stocks moving higher by the close.

Death by a Thousand Cuts·Digest

ENPH early strength with a new potential higher low at the rising 30-week, still a top focus but about 7% to low which is too wide for meaningful size

Death by a Thousand Cuts·Digest

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